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Michaud, R., Michaud, R. and Balter, D. (2015)fi360 Asset Allocation Optimizer Risk-Return Estimateshere

Summary

"This report provides risk-return estimates for twelve asset classes for use with the fi360 Asset Allocation Optimizer. The risks and returns are computed from long-term historical data overlaid with financial theory and adjusted for current interest rates. The returns represent "equilibrium" market estimates relative to the selected optimization universe adjusted for short-term market rates for contemporary realism. A market equilibrium approach is designed to provide a longer term perspective on capital market rates by limiting period-dependence as well as avoiding ad hoc "building block" methods in current usage. The estimates are useful to illustrate properties of optimized portfolios for Markowitz (1959) mean-variance (MV) and Michaud and Michaud (2008) mean-variance (MV) optimization methodologies. While also useful as a framework for comparative purposes relative to a given set of forecasts, judgment is required for application to an investment program."


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