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IAA (2013b)Stress Testing and Scenario Analysishere

Executive Summary

"This paper provides an actuarial perspective on scenario analysis and stress testing. As part of the analysis of risks to the financial condition of a firm, these methods are essential tools for effective risk management and macro prudential oversight. They can enhance the understanding by its stakeholders of the financial vulnerability and viability of the firm. A scenario describes a consistent future state of the world over time, resulting from a plausible and possibly adverse set of events or sequences of events. A stress test provides an assessment of an extreme scenario, usually with a severe impact on the firm, reflecting the inter-relations between its significant risks ..."


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