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Advanced ERM Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk


This presentation is based on a part of an academic course on Advanced Enterprise Risk Management (Advanced ERM) titled ‘Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk’ and covers topics such as: Stress testing (and different types of stress testing, including reverse stress testing), ‘macro’ stress testing, Bayesian approaches to stress testing and scenario analysis, liquidity and funding risk, liquidity and the 2007-09 credit crisis, measuring and modelling liquidity and funding risk and liquidity management within firms

Slides
1Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk
2Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk
3Stress testing
4Lessons from recent financial crisis
5Additional drivers
6Corollaries: Stress testing is …
7Different meanings given to the term 'stress testing'
8Standardised stress tests
9Solvency II Standard formula SCR stress tests
10Standard formula SCR Risk modules
11Reverse stress testing (1)
12Reverse stress testing (2)
13Additional observations
14Reintroducing higher statistics into stress testing
15Plausibility of stress (1)
16Plausibility of stress (2)
17Worst case scenarios
18Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk
19'Macro' stress testing
20Views of regulators
21Example application to credit risk (1)
22Example application to credit risk (2)
23Illustrative impact on bond payoff distributions
24Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk
25Bayesian stress testing
26Example
27Example ctd.
28Identifying feasible correlations
29Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk
30Liquidity and the 2007-09 Credit Crisis
31Liquidity feedback and pricing uncertainty
32Definitions of liquidity risk (1)
33Definitions of liquidity risk (2)
34Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk
35Measuring liquidity risk
36Incorporating liquidity in asset / liability models
37Liquidity horizons (1)
38Session 6: Stress testing and Measuring, managing and mitigating liquidity and funding risk
39Developments in liquidity management
40Liquidity ladders
41Scenario analyses
42Limits, contingencies, reporting
43Addressing weaknesses highlighted by credit crisis
44Earlier Federal Reserve guidance
45Pricing net operating cash flow needs
46Liquidation of / adjustment in assets
47Generation of liabilities
48Capital raising
49Areas for improvement
50Completeness of managed liquidity positions (1)
51Completeness of managed liquidity positions (2)
52Liquidity analysis and cash flow modelling
53Calibration of stress scenarios
54Liquidity limit system and its horizon
55External and internal liquidity pricing
56Contingency planning given stress scenarios
57Allocation of responsibilities
58Session 6: Agenda covered
59Important Information



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